CD Illescas vs Villarrubia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
8º
2º
45
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 77.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
QRE
1 - 2
ILL
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ILL
1 - 1
TAR
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
VRU
2 - 0
ILL
39%
25%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ATT
0 - 2
ILL
12%
18%
70%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 0
ILL
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villarrubia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ALZ
1 - 1
VRU
65%
22%
13%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VRU
0 - 0
CDC
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
VRU
2 - 1
CFP
50%
26%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
VRU
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
VRU
2 - 0
ILL
39%
25%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |