Regionalliga Bayern Round 2

Illertissen vs Memmingen analysis

Illertissen Memmingen
48 ELO 46
6.6% Tilt -5.4%
2578º General ELO ranking 3810º
107º Country ELO ranking 162º
ELO win probability
49%
Illertissen
23.2%
Draw
27.9%
Memmingen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
Illertissen
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.9%
Win probability
Memmingen
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Illertissen
-23%
+52%
Memmingen

ELO progression

Illertissen
Memmingen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Illertissen
Illertissen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jul. 2017
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
2 - 0
Illertissen
ILL
28%
26%
47%
49 40 9 0
20 May. 2017
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
0 - 1
Illertissen
ILL
25%
25%
51%
49 37 12 0
13 May. 2017
ILL
Illertissen
2 - 0
Memmingen
MEM
41%
24%
35%
47 49 2 +2
06 May. 2017
VRG
VfR Garching
2 - 2
Illertissen
ILL
33%
26%
42%
47 41 6 0
28 Apr. 2017
ILL
Illertissen
2 - 3
Rosenheim
ROS
58%
22%
20%
48 44 4 -1

Matches

Memmingen
Memmingen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jul. 2017
MEM
Memmingen
1 - 4
1860 München
MUN
17%
26%
58%
47 65 18 0
04 Jul. 2017
DAC
Dachau
1 - 4
Memmingen
MEM
19%
22%
59%
47 32 15 0
20 May. 2017
MEM
Memmingen
1 - 3
Seligenporten
SEL
71%
18%
12%
48 33 15 -1
13 May. 2017
ILL
Illertissen
2 - 0
Memmingen
MEM
41%
24%
35%
49 47 2 -1
05 May. 2017
MEM
Memmingen
2 - 1
Nürnberg II
NUR
40%
25%
36%
48 49 1 +1