Illertissen vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ING
1 - 0
ILL
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ILL
3 - 3
UNT
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
ILL
1 - 0
WAC
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
BUC
0 - 0
ILL
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
SEL
0 - 1
ILL
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
SCH
2 - 0
BAY
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AUG
0 - 2
BAY
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BAY
1 - 0
SCH
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
BAY
1 - 1
BAY
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
BAY
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |