Illertissen vs Rosenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
RAI
2 - 3
ILL
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
ILL
2 - 2
ING
31%
26%
44%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
VFR
0 - 2
ILL
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ILL
0 - 0
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
NOT
0 - 2
ILL
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rosenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
ING
0 - 1
ROS
51%
23%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
ROS
0 - 2
MEM
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ELT
2 - 2
ROS
31%
25%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ROS
3 - 0
SEL
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ERB
2 - 4
ROS
18%
23%
59%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |