Iliturgi 2016 vs Vilches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iliturgi 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CDR
0 - 3
ICF
29%
22%
50%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ICF
1 - 2
CAR
40%
24%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 1
ICF
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ICF
2 - 0
IDJ
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDH
1 - 6
ICF
25%
23%
53%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
CAB
36%
22%
42%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CDV
0 - 2
VIL
49%
22%
29%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAE
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BEG
1 - 1
VIL
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
ATL
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |