Iliturgi 2016 vs Carolinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iliturgi 2016
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 1
ICF
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ICF
2 - 0
IDJ
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDH
1 - 6
ICF
25%
23%
53%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ALH
5 - 0
ICF
63%
21%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ICF
1 - 0
BER
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAB
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDV
0 - 4
CAR
35%
24%
42%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAE
74%
16%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BEG
0 - 0
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
IDJ
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |