IL Runar vs Jerv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IL Runar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
TOL
3 - 0
RUN
64%
19%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2003 |
RUN
3 - 1
ODD
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
POR
5 - 1
RUN
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
RUN
0 - 2
KVI
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2003 |
BFC
3 - 0
RUN
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
JER
1 - 2
SJE
42%
24%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
FRI
2 - 2
JER
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
1 - 1
JER
61%
20%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
JER
0 - 2
TOL
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2003 |
ODD
4 - 2
JER
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |