Norwegian Fourth Division Round 18

Gneist vs Lokomotiv Oslo analysis

Gneist Lokomotiv Oslo
19 ELO 28
-5.3% Tilt -5.9%
10164º General ELO ranking 7294º
160º Country ELO ranking 102º
ELO win probability
17.2%
Gneist
19.9%
Draw
62.9%
Lokomotiv Oslo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
Gneist
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
62.9%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Oslo
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gneist
+82%
-3%
Lokomotiv Oslo

Points and table prediction

Gneist
Their league position
Lokomotiv Oslo
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
14º
12º
28
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lysekloster
70
70
100%
Frigg
56
56
100%
Fana
51
51
100%
Os Turn
48
48
100%
Sandviken
44
44
100%
Gjelleråsen
42
42
100%
Skjetten
38
38
100%
Stabæk II
34
34
100%
Lillestrom II
29
29
100%
Lokomotiv Oslo
10º
28
28
10º
100%
Skedsmo
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Gneist
12º
22
22
12º
100%
Ullern II
13º
16
16
13º
100%
Grorud II
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gneist
Lokomotiv Oslo
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Gneist
Lokomotiv Oslo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gneist
Gneist
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2023
OTF
Os Turn
2 - 4
Gneist
ILG
96%
3%
1%
16 43 27 0
19 Aug. 2023
ILG
Gneist
0 - 3
Fana
FAN
5%
9%
87%
16 40 24 0
12 Aug. 2023
SKJ
Skjetten
2 - 0
Gneist
ILG
78%
13%
9%
17 22 5 -1
16 Jul. 2023
ILG
Gneist
1 - 0
Skedsmo
SKE
11%
16%
73%
14 28 14 +3
08 Jul. 2023
LOK
Lokomotiv Oslo
2 - 0
Gneist
ILG
83%
12%
6%
15 29 14 -1

Matches

Lokomotiv Oslo
Lokomotiv Oslo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2023
LOK
Lokomotiv Oslo
0 - 1
Frigg
FRI
15%
17%
68%
30 40 10 0
19 Aug. 2023
LYS
Lysekloster
1 - 0
Lokomotiv Oslo
LOK
85%
11%
4%
30 49 19 0
14 Aug. 2023
LOK
Lokomotiv Oslo
3 - 2
Ullern II
ULL
68%
17%
15%
30 21 9 0
16 Jul. 2023
GRO
Grorud II
0 - 1
Lokomotiv Oslo
LOK
43%
23%
34%
29 26 3 +1
08 Jul. 2023
LOK
Lokomotiv Oslo
2 - 0
Gneist
ILG
83%
12%
6%
29 15 14 0