Norwegian Fourth Division Group 1 Round 6

Junkeren vs Skjervøy analysis

Junkeren Skjervøy
48 ELO 36
21% Tilt 24.8%
5102º General ELO ranking 8623º
70º Country ELO ranking 120º
ELO win probability
73.3%
Junkeren
15.5%
Draw
11.1%
Skjervøy

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
Junkeren
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.1%
Win probability
Skjervøy
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Junkeren
+48%
-36%
Skjervøy

Points and table prediction

Junkeren
Their league position
Skjervøy
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
20
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Junkeren
51
64
72.5%
Frigg
47
62
72%
Bærum
39
52
95%
Fløya
34
44
54%
Tromso II
33
43
53.5%
Gamle Oslo
28
35
46.5%
Ullern
28
35
36%
IL Ulfstind
26
33
33%
Harstad
12º
19
29
27%
KFUM Oslo II
22
27
10º
22%
Skjervøy
11º
20
27
11º
25%
Funnefoss / Vormsund
10º
22
26
12º
24.5%
Alta II
14º
12
19
13º
37%
Sortland
13º
15
19
14º
41.5%
Expected probabilities
Junkeren
Skjervøy
Promotion
72.5% 0%
Promotion play-offs
27.5% 0%
Mid-table
0% 69.5%
Relegation
0% 30.5%

ELO progression

Junkeren
Skjervøy
Bærum
Funnefoss / Vormsund
Frigg
Sortland
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Junkeren
Junkeren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2025
KFU
KFUM Oslo II
0 - 0
Junkeren
IKJ
21%
21%
58%
47 31 16 0
27 Apr. 2025
IKJ
Junkeren
2 - 0
Gamle Oslo
GOF
61%
20%
20%
47 41 6 0
24 Apr. 2025
IKJ
Junkeren
1 - 5
FK Bodo Glimt
BOG
6%
13%
81%
47 84 37 0
21 Apr. 2025
SOI
Sortland
0 - 6
Junkeren
IKJ
10%
13%
77%
46 26 20 +1
12 Apr. 2025
IKJ
Junkeren
2 - 1
Harstad
HAR
64%
19%
18%
46 38 8 0

Matches

Skjervøy
Skjervøy
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2025
SIK
Skjervøy
0 - 3
Fløya
FLO
29%
23%
48%
38 45 7 0
27 Apr. 2025
SIK
Skjervøy
3 - 2
Sortland
SOI
76%
14%
10%
38 25 13 0
23 Apr. 2025
SIK
Skjervøy
0 - 1
Tromsø IL
TRO
6%
14%
80%
38 81 43 0
20 Apr. 2025
GOF
Gamle Oslo
1 - 1
Skjervøy
SIK
47%
23%
30%
38 41 3 0
13 Apr. 2025
SIK
Skjervøy
2 - 1
Fløya
FLO
22%
21%
57%
36 46 10 +2