Superettan round 27

IFK Varnamo vs Gefle analysis

IFK Varnamo Gefle
59 ELO 53
5.3% Tilt 11.9%
1138º General ELO ranking 3427º
17º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
58%
IFK Varnamo
22.5%
Draw
19.6%
Gefle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
IFK Varnamo
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.6%
Win probability
Gefle
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
IFK Varnamo
-16%
-26%
Gefle

ELO progression

IFK Varnamo
Gefle
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

IFK Varnamo
IFK Varnamo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2018
HAL
Halmstads
0 - 3
IFK Varnamo
IFK
60%
23%
17%
58 68 10 0
01 Oct. 2018
IFK
IFK Varnamo
0 - 0
AFC Eskilstuna
AFC
29%
28%
43%
58 69 11 0
24 Sep. 2018
NOR
Norrby
2 - 1
IFK Varnamo
IFK
42%
25%
33%
57 55 2 +1
16 Sep. 2018
IFK
IFK Varnamo
1 - 2
Degerfors IF
DEG
38%
26%
37%
58 61 3 -1
12 Sep. 2018
GAI
GAIS
1 - 2
IFK Varnamo
IFK
44%
26%
30%
57 59 2 +1

Matches

Gefle
Gefle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2018
GEF
Gefle
1 - 0
GAIS
GAI
37%
26%
38%
53 58 5 0
30 Sep. 2018
OIF
Osters IF
0 - 0
Gefle
GEF
61%
23%
16%
52 62 10 +1
23 Sep. 2018
VAR
Varbergs BoIS
1 - 2
Gefle
GEF
62%
21%
17%
51 57 6 +1
16 Sep. 2018
GEF
Gefle
0 - 3
Falkenbergs
FAL
15%
21%
63%
51 67 16 0
08 Sep. 2018
JON
Jönköpings Södra
1 - 0
Gefle
GEF
57%
23%
20%
51 59 8 0