Simrishamn vs IFK Malmö analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
56.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
11º
6º
16
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
OST
1 - 4
SIM
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SIM
3 - 0
NOS
5%
13%
82%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | +8 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
IFK
3 - 1
SIM
91%
7%
2%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SIM
1 - 1
ROS
4%
11%
85%
|
8 | 38 | 30 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SIM
0 - 4
OST
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
IFK Malmö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 0
KRI
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
HAS
1 - 0
MAL
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 4
FBK
57%
20%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 0
MAL
8%
14%
78%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 0
MAL
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |