IFK Norrköping vs IFK Varnamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
12º
10º
7
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 61 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 51 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 51 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 46 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 44 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 44 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 40 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 34 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Norrköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
MFF
3 - 1
NOR
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 1
BRO
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
DJU
1 - 1
NOR
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 3
GAI
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
NOR
1 - 1
MJÄ
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 0
DJU
27%
28%
46%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
HIF
1 - 0
IFK
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
0 - 0
ELF
22%
25%
53%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
6 - 1
B93
44%
24%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
MFK
2 - 3
IFK
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |