IFK Luleå vs Notvikens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
5º
9
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Luleå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SAF
0 - 4
IFK
13%
17%
71%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
KFF
2 - 1
IFK
17%
19%
64%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 1
GIF
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 1
SKE
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SIK
1 - 2
IFK
13%
18%
69%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Notvikens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 1
BER
27%
22%
50%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 4
THO
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FRI
2 - 0
NOT
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 5
IFA
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
YIK
4 - 2
NOT
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |