Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
52.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
14º
10º
24
4º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 53 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 47 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 41 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 41 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 39 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 33 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 32 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 30 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 30 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 29 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 29 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 28 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 25 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
30% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlshamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
SOG
4 - 2
IFK
59%
19%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 3
IFK
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 0
KRI
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +3 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
IFK
0 - 1
TOR
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
LIN
4 - 1
IFK
20%
20%
61%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
IFK Trelleborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
TRE
0 - 0
VAX
81%
12%
8%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
TRE
7 - 2
IFK
59%
19%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
KAR
0 - 0
TRE
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
TRE
1 - 3
OST
59%
19%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 1
TRE
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |