IF Karlstad vs IK Sirius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
67.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 2
ORE
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 0
VAS
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PIT
0 - 6
KAR
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ESK
1 - 2
KAR
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 4
KAR
12%
18%
70%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GÖT
1 - 1
SIR
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 1
KAL
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 4
SIR
36%
27%
38%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MFF
0 - 1
SIR
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 4
MFF
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |