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Division 1. Norte, Matchday 18

IF Karlstad vs Assyriska FF analysis

IF Karlstad Assyriska FF
38 ELO 36
52% Tilt 69%
3346º General ELO ranking 3759º
53º Country ELO ranking 55º
ELO win probability
49.4%
IF Karlstad
20.8%
Draw
29.8%
Assyriska FF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
IF Karlstad
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
29.8%
Win probability
Assyriska FF
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
IF Karlstad
+59%
+11%
Assyriska FF

Basic stats

4
0
GF
0
4
GC
38
36
ELO
2.1
1.6
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

IF Karlstad
Their league position
Assyriska FF
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
11º
19
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Brommapojkarna
53
68
93%
Sandvikens IF
46
60
45%
IF Karlstad
41
54
27%
Dalkurd FF
40
56
25%
Umeå
37
50
27%
Sollentuna
31
41
14%
Örebro Syrianska
31
39
15%
Gefle
30
42
12%
Sylvia
29
41
12%
Piteå
10º
29
38
10º
14%
Haninge
11º
28
36
11º
15%
IFK Luleå
12º
20
29
14º
16%
Hudiksvall
13º
20
28
16º
17%
Assyriska FF
14º
19
30
13º
16%
Hammarby TFF
15º
18
30
12º
19%
Täby
16º
18
28
15º
16%
Expected probabilities
IF Karlstad
Assyriska FF
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
21% 0%
Mid-table
79% 33%
Relegation playoffs
0% 17%
Relegation
0% 49%

ELO progression

Assyriska FF
ASS
IF Karlstad
KAR
Umeå
UME
Gefle
GEF
Sandvikens IF
SAN
Sylvia
SYL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

IF Karlstad
IF Karlstad
1%
X%
2%
ELO KAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2021
KAR
IF Karlstad
4 - 0
Assyriska FF
ASS
47%
27%
26%
558 486 72 +3
22 Aug. 2021
SOL
Sollentuna
2 - 4
IF Karlstad
KAR
41%
28%
31%
555 410 -145 +3
15 Sep. 2021
KAR
IF Karlstad
4 - 1
Hammarby TFF
HTF
46%
27%
27%
555 630 -75 0
10 Jul. 2021
GEF
Gefle
2 - 1
IF Karlstad
KAR
47%
27%
26%
557 627 70 -2
04 Jul. 2021
HTF
Hammarby TFF
0 - 3
IF Karlstad
KAR
49%
26%
25%
553 634 81 +4

Matches

Assyriska FF
Assyriska FF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ASS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2021
KAR
IF Karlstad
4 - 0
Assyriska FF
ASS
47%
27%
26%
486 558 72 -3
22 Aug. 2021
ASS
Assyriska FF
1 - 2
IFK Luleå
IFK
51%
26%
23%
488 321 167 -2
15 Aug. 2021
ASS
Assyriska FF
1 - 2
Sollentuna
SOL
49%
26%
25%
490 398 92 -2
10 Jul. 2021
ORE
Örebro Syrianska
4 - 3
Assyriska FF
ASS
39%
28%
33%
493 201 -292 -2
04 Jul. 2021
SYL
Sylvia
4 - 0
Assyriska FF
ASS
40%
28%
32%
496 290 -206 -4