Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
IF Elfsborg vs Dacia Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
ELF
3 - 0
KAL
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
DAC
1 - 0
ELF
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
KAL
2 - 1
ELF
36%
26%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
FLO
0 - 4
ELF
18%
23%
58%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
ELF
0 - 0
MJÄ
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dacia Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
DAC
3 - 2
ZIM
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
DAC
1 - 0
ELF
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
ISK
2 - 2
DAC
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 1
DAC
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
DAC
1 - 0
CEL
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |