Älgarna vs Skellefteå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
71.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
6º
13º
10º
55
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Älgarna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
IFK
6 - 0
IFA
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
IFA
2 - 2
BER
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FRI
5 - 1
IFA
85%
10%
6%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
IFA
1 - 2
THO
21%
21%
59%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
YIK
2 - 1
IFA
27%
20%
53%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Skellefteå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SKE
1 - 0
YIK
89%
8%
3%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 4
SKE
8%
14%
78%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
SKE
4 - 0
SAF
87%
9%
4%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GIF
1 - 0
SKE
20%
24%
57%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SIK
0 - 3
SKE
10%
17%
73%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | +1 |