Idoya vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
68.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
COR
5 - 0
IDO
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 0
IDO
83%
12%
5%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
IDO
0 - 2
IZA
8%
17%
75%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SUB
3 - 2
IDO
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
IDO
2 - 4
HUA
22%
25%
54%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UDM
3 - 1
CDB
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
UDM
1 - 1
BUR
76%
17%
8%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CDA
2 - 3
UDM
30%
27%
44%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
UDM
3 - 0
OSA
33%
26%
42%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +3 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
UDM
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |