Idella A vs Novelda B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idella A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ENG
2 - 0
IDE
46%
23%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 1
IDE
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
IDE
2 - 1
LOL
42%
24%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
POB
1 - 1
IDE
15%
20%
66%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 0
SPO
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 3
LOL
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
POB
2 - 0
NOV
33%
23%
45%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
AYO
8 - 2
NOV
54%
21%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
SPO
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 3
NOV
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |