Ideal vs Praiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
IDE
2 - 1
REA
14%
22%
64%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GDF
2 - 2
IDE
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
IDE
0 - 0
MER
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ESA
3 - 0
IDE
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
IDE
4 - 0
FOR
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
RAB
0 - 0
PRA
9%
18%
73%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PRA
0 - 0
FAB
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SCP
2 - 0
PRA
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
PER
1 - 0
PRA
13%
20%
67%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PRA
3 - 2
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |