Ideal vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 2
IDE
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
IDE
0 - 1
SCP
12%
20%
69%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
IDE
1 - 1
BEL
13%
25%
62%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ORI
4 - 1
IDE
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 3
IDE
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
GDF
1 - 3
BEL
16%
25%
59%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 0
GDF
38%
22%
40%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ESA
2 - 1
GDF
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ORI
0 - 1
GDF
55%
21%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
GDF
2 - 1
PRA
17%
22%
61%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +3 |