Icasa vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
ICA
0 - 2
FOR
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 2
ICA
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 0
ICA
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ICA
1 - 2
BOV
56%
22%
21%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
ICA
0 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 2
QUI
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 1
MAR
44%
24%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
4 - 1
ITA
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 0
ITA
44%
23%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |