Icasa vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
ICA
2 - 1
FOR
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2008 |
BOV
1 - 2
ICA
25%
24%
52%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 4
ICA
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2008 |
ICA
0 - 0
HOR
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 0
ICA
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
ITA
1 - 1
GUA
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2008 |
FOR
4 - 1
ITA
79%
13%
8%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ITA
2 - 0
QUI
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2008 |
ITA
1 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
FER
1 - 1
ITA
57%
20%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |