ÍBV vs Fylkir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
12º
11º
21
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ÍBV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FHH
2 - 1
IBV
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
IBV
0 - 2
STJ
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
VIK
6 - 0
IBV
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 1
IBV
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
IBV
1 - 1
KEF
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fylkir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
FYL
0 - 4
STJ
38%
25%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 1
FYL
40%
24%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
FHH
2 - 4
FYL
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
FYL
0 - 0
HKK
53%
22%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 1
FYL
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |