Iberia Atlético B vs Cerro analysis


5	ELO	9
-0.2%	Tilt	-0.5%
31657º	General ELO ranking	31658º
8692º	Country ELO ranking	8693º
ELO win probability

34%

Iberia Atlético B

22.7%

Draw

43.3%

Cerro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

34.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%

22.7%

Draw

0-0

3.5%

1-1

9.8%

2-2

6.8%

3-3

2.1%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

<0%

0

22.7%

43.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%