Ibarra vs Vera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CDB
0 - 1
UDI
25%
26%
49%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
UDI
0 - 0
UPR
75%
16%
10%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
UDI
0 - 0
CDT
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
UDL
0 - 1
UDI
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LAN
2 - 1
UDI
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
VER
0 - 2
CDT
24%
24%
52%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
VER
2 - 2
VSB
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
UDL
3 - 0
VER
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VER
5 - 0
UPR
35%
25%
40%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LAN
5 - 1
VER
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |