Ibarra vs Unión Breñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
UDM
3 - 0
UDI
58%
22%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
UDI
2 - 2
CDP
38%
25%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
UDT
4 - 2
UDI
54%
24%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
UDI
0 - 2
CDT
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
UDI
3 - 0
UDI
40%
25%
35%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Unión Breñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CUB
1 - 2
LLA
18%
23%
59%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
UDN
1 - 0
CUB
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CUB
2 - 1
UDO
22%
23%
55%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CDV
3 - 0
CUB
52%
23%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
UDM
3 - 1
CUB
69%
18%
13%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |