Ibarra vs CD Mensajero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
UDI
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
UDI
2 - 1
CSU
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 1
UDI
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
UDI
3 - 2
EST
39%
26%
36%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
YAI
0 - 0
UDI
49%
25%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CDM
2 - 0
CDT
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 0
CDM
23%
26%
52%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CDM
1 - 0
ARU
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VSB
1 - 1
CDM
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CDM
3 - 0
LAN
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |