Ibach vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
IBA
1 - 1
LUZ
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TAV
0 - 2
IBA
53%
23%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
IBA
0 - 3
PER
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
IBA
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
IBA
2 - 2
HOC
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LUG
4 - 0
CAS
67%
18%
16%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LUZ
3 - 2
LUG
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 2
TAV
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PER
2 - 0
LUG
18%
20%
62%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 0
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |