Ibach vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
12º
13º
27
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 2
IBA
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 2
IBA
40%
24%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IBA
1 - 2
ZUG
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SCE
2 - 2
IBA
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
IBA
0 - 1
CHA
88%
9%
3%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HER
5 - 1
ESC
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MEN
2 - 0
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
FCC
28%
21%
51%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 2
HER
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
ASC
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |