Ibach vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 0
IBA
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
GOL
3 - 2
IBA
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
IBA
2 - 1
ASC
45%
24%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
IBA
2 - 1
LUZ
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 1
IBA
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HER
0 - 3
SIO
8%
16%
77%
|
25 | 80 | 55 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ESC
1 - 2
HER
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
EMM
48%
23%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FCB
5 - 2
HER
21%
21%
59%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
HER
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |