Ibach vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
ESC
3 - 2
IBA
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
IBA
0 - 1
LSS
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
EMM
1 - 4
IBA
43%
23%
33%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
IBA
3 - 1
FCB
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
VED
0 - 3
IBA
23%
23%
54%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
HER
3 - 2
FCA
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
ESC
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LSS
3 - 4
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HER
2 - 5
EMM
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
1 - 2
HER
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |