Ibach vs Emmenbrücke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
IBA
1 - 2
BLA
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 4
IBA
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HER
1 - 4
IBA
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
IBA
2 - 3
SAR
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
RUS
3 - 1
IBA
30%
23%
46%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -3 |
Matches
Emmenbrücke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
EMM
2 - 0
GUN
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
EMM
2 - 1
ESC
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 0
EMM
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCB
0 - 2
EMM
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
VED
2 - 3
EMM
16%
20%
64%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -1 |