Ibach vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
IBA
2 - 1
LUZ
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FCS
3 - 1
IBA
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GUN
0 - 1
IBA
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
IBA
4 - 3
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
IBA
1 - 4
BUO
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 1
GUN
70%
18%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BUO
4 - 1
ASC
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 2
ESC
55%
22%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
EMM
0 - 1
ASC
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 0
FCB
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |