Hwaseong vs Mokpo Christian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
HWA
3 - 0
YAN
62%
19%
20%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HWA
5 - 2
CHU
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
YAN
2 - 3
HWA
40%
24%
37%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HWA
2 - 1
SEO
74%
16%
11%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
POC
1 - 3
HWA
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mokpo Christian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GOY
2 - 0
MOK
91%
6%
3%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |