Hwaseong vs Gyeongju HNP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 1
HWA
17%
25%
59%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HWA
2 - 2
SIH
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ULS
1 - 3
HWA
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MOK
1 - 3
HWA
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HWA
3 - 0
YES
62%
23%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GYE
0 - 0
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GAN
1 - 2
GYE
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DFC
2 - 1
GYE
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GYE
2 - 0
CHU
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SIH
0 - 2
GYE
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |