Hwaseong vs Gyeongju Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
HWA
1 - 0
YAN
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
YAN
0 - 1
HWA
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HWA
1 - 2
GYE
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
ICH
0 - 3
HWA
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
HWA
5 - 3
PCF
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Gyeongju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
GYE
1 - 3
POC
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HWA
1 - 2
GYE
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
GYE
0 - 2
SIH
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
YAN
4 - 1
GYE
34%
26%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
PCF
2 - 4
GYE
15%
23%
62%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | +1 |