Hwaseong vs Donggook analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
3.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
HWA
0 - 2
CHU
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
HWA
1 - 0
YAN
47%
24%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HWA
3 - 2
GOY
87%
10%
3%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
JCM
1 - 2
HWA
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HWA
0 - 0
PYE
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Donggook
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MOK
2 - 1
DOU
82%
13%
5%
|
15 | 58 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 2
DOU
82%
13%
5%
|
14 | 56 | 42 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
SUW
2 - 0
DOU
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 77 | 63 | 0 |