Hwajeong vs Dangjin Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
77.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwajeong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
DAE
3 - 1
HFC
78%
15%
7%
|
10 | 56 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Dangjin Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
JEO
0 - 2
DCF
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DCF
0 - 1
DAE
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GYE
1 - 0
DCF
65%
22%
14%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 0
DCF
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DCF
1 - 1
SIH
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |