Hürth vs SpVgg Frechen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SIE
0 - 2
HUR
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
HUR
1 - 1
BFR
57%
21%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SVB
2 - 0
HUR
35%
23%
41%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
HUR
3 - 0
ALT
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
HUR
3 - 1
WEG
23%
22%
56%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SPF
2 - 0
ALT
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
BWF
3 - 1
SPF
60%
19%
22%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SPF
1 - 1
H05
27%
21%
52%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
SPF
1 - 5
BER
29%
22%
49%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
VFL
1 - 0
SPF
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |