Hürth vs SpVg Porz 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
15º
11º
31
8º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HUR
0 - 2
FVE
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GET
0 - 2
HUR
42%
22%
37%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 2
KON
24%
21%
56%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SVE
4 - 0
HUR
79%
12%
8%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 5
H05
13%
17%
70%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
2 - 0
GET
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
KON
4 - 1
SPV
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
3 - 2
SVE
8%
13%
79%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | +5 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
H05
4 - 1
SPV
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SPV
1 - 3
BSC
10%
16%
74%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | -1 |