Hürth vs SpVg Porz 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+124%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
15º
11º
31
8º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HUR
0 - 2
FVE
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GET
0 - 2
HUR
42%
22%
37%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 2
KON
24%
21%
56%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SVE
4 - 0
HUR
79%
12%
8%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 5
H05
13%
17%
70%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
SpVg Porz 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
2 - 0
GET
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
KON
4 - 1
SPV
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
3 - 2
SVE
8%
13%
79%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | +4 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
H05
4 - 1
SPV
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SPV
1 - 3
BSC
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -1 |