Hurricanes vs St. John's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
5º
4º
20
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 23 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
20 | 23 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 17 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 16 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 2 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 75.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hurricanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
HRC
0 - 0
QPR
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
SFC
2 - 4
HRC
21%
19%
60%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
HRC
2 - 0
HAR
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FON
0 - 3
HRC
30%
21%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
4 - 0
HRC
54%
20%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
St. John's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
JOH
2 - 0
SDF
91%
7%
3%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
HAR
1 - 3
JOH
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
JOH
3 - 1
SFC
75%
14%
11%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
QPR
1 - 2
JOH
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
SAB
5 - 2
JOH
30%
21%
48%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |