Huracán Goya vs Libertad Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huracán Goya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DPR
3 - 1
HUR
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HUR
0 - 0
ALU
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
HUR
1 - 0
SFE
36%
26%
39%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CUR
2 - 1
HUR
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
HUR
3 - 1
VIA
52%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
LBC
0 - 0
ACH
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
LBC
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |