Hunan Billows FC vs Guangdong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
51%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hunan Billows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
QIN
3 - 0
HBF
63%
21%
15%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
HBF
0 - 4
SHA
67%
18%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
SHA
5 - 1
HBF
16%
20%
63%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
HBF
0 - 2
YAN
30%
26%
43%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
JIA
3 - 1
HBF
77%
16%
7%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Guangdong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 1
JIA
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
GUA
4 - 0
HEN
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
GUO
0 - 3
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 1
CHA
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
SHA
2 - 2
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |