Hume City FC vs Richmond analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 1
HUM
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
HUM
0 - 1
OAK
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
HUM
41%
25%
35%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
HUM
3 - 1
HEU
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 1
HUM
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
RIC
1 - 2
SOU
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MZA
1 - 2
RIC
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 3
RIC
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
RIC
2 - 3
OAK
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 3
RIC
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |