Humble Lions vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
54.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
LIO
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
REN
1 - 1
LIO
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 2
LIO
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LIO
0 - 0
UWI
41%
29%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MON
3 - 1
LIO
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 1
BOY
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 1
WAT
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +3 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 1
ARN
24%
23%
54%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
NOT
4 - 8
ARN
6%
14%
81%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ARN
3 - 0
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |