Huachipato vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
CON
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
HUA
3 - 1
NUB
74%
16%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
OHI
2 - 4
HUA
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HUA
1 - 1
CSL
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
UNI
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
USF
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
LOT
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 0
UCO
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |