HSC 21 vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
56.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
HER
7 - 0
HSC
88%
9%
3%
|
36 | 73 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
TWE
2 - 0
HSC
85%
12%
4%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
HSC
1 - 1
ADO
35%
21%
44%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
QUI
2 - 2
HSC
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
HOO
3 - 1
HSC
38%
22%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
EXC
0 - 2
ODI
38%
24%
39%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 3
GRO
55%
21%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
STE
1 - 3
EXC
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 1
STA
34%
23%
43%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
DVS
0 - 1
EXC
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |