HSC 21 vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
STA
2 - 0
HSC
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GEM
4 - 1
HSC
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
HSC
0 - 3
OSS
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
USV
2 - 1
HSC
36%
24%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ADO
2 - 2
HSC
50%
23%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
DVS
3 - 1
DON
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
DON
2 - 1
OOS
33%
24%
44%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
DON
4 - 0
HOO
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
DON
1 - 0
USV
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
EVV
1 - 0
DON
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |